But it looks like Perry, whose move are being followed with much anticipation, stumbled out of the gate, observes Dan Riehl.
So, objectively, what can we ascertain from this? Well, in the first place, Perry's opening act was a screw up. He made a commitment to RedState and South Carolina, giving RS a great get btw, then he reneged on it out of political expedience. Now, given the budding bromances with Perry I've observed breaking out like zits on a teenager at RedState, I wouldn't be surprised to not hear any complaints from that corner of the blogoverse. And I would assume Perry explained and apologized, somehow. Who knows, maybe he will make it up to them - and they did enjoy some buzz from it, anyway.
Still, all in all, it was a weak opening act. The initial announcement was a screw up by Perry, one fixed by throwing a small gathering of conservatives under the bus for political expedience. When have we seen that before? Sounds like the Bushies are every bit as involved as some chatter suggests. After all, it was Bush 43 himself who claimed there is no conservative movement. So it would be interesting to know if Perry now has some of the same voices advising him. Hmm.
“Let me tell you something,” the president said. “I whupped Gary Bauer’s ass in 2000. So take out all this movement stuff. There is no movement.”
I have to say too, that if he's getting the Bushes to give him advice, that's going to bring the baggage of Bush to the ticket for Obama and the libs to beat Perry with like a dead horse. But it's not just that. Bush (while good as a Commander in Chief) watered down conservatism with this quasi-big government conservatism that wrecked the Republican Party.
Another mistake Bush made in 2000 that he's passing on to Perry--competeing in California. Forget it! Lee Rodgers astutely observed several times when he was on KSFO how Bush's delusion that he could win the late Golden State in 2000 took time and resources away from Florida. California is an impossibility for the Republican Party, because it doesn't really exist as a comeptitive entity in the state. How can I know that? What can you say about a state already going down the tubes economically that would re-elect Moonbeams Jerry Brown as Governor?
Not only has Perry stumbled out of the gate, I wonder if he really doesn't want to run, but is being pushed into it, a la Fred Thompson in 2007.